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Premier League & Championship, in-play only.
Fixtures
Calibrated W/D/L probabilities, benchmarked against the market.
Confidence range
0–100%
Min
Max
Friendlies are not scored the same as competitive fixtures.
Results
Predicted against actual, most recent first.
Standings
Season standings.
Swipe the table sideways for goals and form.
Track record
Model against market, updated after every settled fixture.
Prediction calibration
How often the model is right when it says X%.
Predicted
Actual
Log loss vs bookmaker baseline
Lower is better. The model aims to match or beat the baseline.
Model
Baseline
Value flag history
Matches where the model diverged significantly from the market.